Understanding Palin Power
In a CBS Poll after the 1992 election, 12% of Republicans
supported Dan Quayle for President. In 1996, no one clamored for
Jack Kemp to run in 2000. After the 2000 campaign, Joe Lieberman’s
2004 effort bombed worse than Howard the Duck. After 2004, John
Edwards trailed badly to Hillary Clinton in the earliest Democratic
Primary polls, and fell by the wayside leading up to the
Obama-Clinton battle.
History has not been kind to losing Vice-Presidential
candidates. They are often cast aside as failed marketing gimmicks
that didn’t pan out. This is what makes a recent Rasmussen Reports
poll remarkable. A national unknown two and a half months ago,
Palin leads in a Republican Primary Trial heat by a 64-13% margin,
and has a 91% favorable rating among Republicans, including a 65%
very favorable rating.
The numbers are astounding. Dole in 1996, Bush in 2000, and
Giuliani in 2008 enjoyed numbers in the mid-40s, but I’ve never
seen anyone poll more than 50%, let alone more than 60% in a
pre-primary trial heat. These numbers often came before people
actually knew who the candidates were. Palin’s numbers come after a
period in which we’ve learned nearly everything there is to know
about her.
Now, given the fickleness of public opinion, her support will
certainly cool a little bit over the coming years, and she may not
even run for President. But at this moment, she’s the most popular
Republican in America.
Why?
First, Sarah Palin is the embodiment of grassroots conservatism.
She’s a gun owner, a small businesswoman, a mother, and she’s
pro-life to the core. As governor, she’s known for strictly
adhering to the State’s Constitution even if it’s not to her
political advantage. She’s not a partisan in the sense of focusing
on scoring political points on the other side, but let there be no
doubt, she is a conservative.
Second, though, has a lot to do with the people in power in the
Republican Party. From 1994-2006, Republicans enjoyed amazing
levels of power across the nation, yet how were conservatives? Many
Republicans, once elected, became one of them (the Government) and
forgot about us (the People.) Their focus begins to shift from
doing the people’s business to pleasing Teacher’s Unions and big
industries. The people were forgotten. Conservative principles were
forgotten. Big government conservatism existed as means to
politicians securing their power.
I’ve often wished that somebody would get these self-seeking
Republican politicians out of office. Yet, the efforts have often
been met with heartbreak. In Montana, I twice supported Rob
Natelson in the Republican Primary for Governor, only to see him
lose in the primary both times. Last year, I voted for a
conservative running against my pork barreling Congressman who won
re-nomination with 80+% of the vote.
Sarah Palin did it. A former small town Mayor took down the
Governor of her state, who had also been a U.S. Senator for four
terms. She went into office and reduced spending when the state was
in surplus. She took the governor’s luxury jet and placed it on
Ebay. Sarah Palin not only represents a picture of conservatism,
but she did what most conservatives have been dreaming of doing for
more than a decade: Throw a bum out.
The Palin juggernaut is ultimately a rebuke to today’s political
class. Grassroots conservatives are tired of them because they are
greedy, self-serving, and only care about power. They have become
government apparatchiks. They do have great experience, which they
tout repeatedly. They’re only problem is that it’s all in selling
themselves to the highest bidder. Their claims to conservative
values are entirely self-serving alliances of convenience.
Whether or not she runs for President in 2012, if the GOP wants
victory, it’d better produce more political leaders like Sarah
Palin.
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